Crypto · market-implied 46.2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Genius's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Genius will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Genius (https://x.com/GeniusTerminal) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is currently priced at 46.2%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 46.2%, indicating a possible 0.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +13.9 pts · Δ24h +13.9 pts (same direction)
YES
NO