Crypto · market-implied 8.5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
-1.0 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
8.5%
Model estimate
92.5%
YES
8.5%
NO
91.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -3.0 pts · Δ24h -3.0 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
8.5%
NO
91.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.010 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 8.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 7.5%, indicating a possible -1.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -3.0 pts · Δ24h -3.0 pts (same direction)
YES
NO