BinaryStreaks

Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?

Updated 8h ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Crypto · market-implied 72.0%

Below estimatePolymarketVolume ~25,763.913← All markets

Recent price

72.0%

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Dogecoin (DOGE/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 15:45 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance DOGE/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Active signals

Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket
Below estimate

Market Overreaction

Confidence Mid
Opportunity: NO sideModel leaning NO

Edge

-18.8 pts

Strong edge

Market-implied

72.0%

Model estimate

46.8%

YES

72.0%

NO

28.0%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: 1h move -6.5 pts · 3.3× typical volatility

Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket

Trend Continuation

Confidence Mid-low

Edge

0.0 pts

Market-implied

72.0%

Model estimate

-

YES

72.0%

NO

28.0%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +5.5 pts · Δ24h +12.0 pts (same direction)

Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket

Low Liquidity Warning

Confidence Mid

YES

72.0%

NO

28.0%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Spread 0.180 vs 0.070 · wide

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 72.0%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 53.3%, indicating a possible -18.8 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: 1h move -6.5 pts · 3.3× typical volatility

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
  • Larger gaps can persist when the market is thin, has wide spreads, or is slow to update.

Related links

Browse all markets →Browse signals →Explore related topic →More in Crypto →

Related markets

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
68¢
Best ask (buy)
76¢
Spread
8¢
Midpoint
72¢
Depth (top level)
bid 12.8 · ask 6.04

NO

Best bid (sell)
24¢
Best ask (buy)
32¢
Spread
8¢
Midpoint
28¢
Depth (top level)
bid 6.04 · ask 12.8