Tech · market-implied 72.0%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released. The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
0.0 pts
Market-implied
72.0%
Model estimate
-
YES
72.0%
NO
28.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -4.0 pts · Δ24h -3.5 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence Mid-lowYES
72.0%
NO
28.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.060 vs 0.040 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 72.0%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 72.0%, indicating a possible 0.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -4.0 pts · Δ24h -3.5 pts (same direction)
YES
NO