MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Finance · market-implied 85.5%
Recent price
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence Mid-lowEdge
+1.0 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
85.5%
Model estimate
86.5%
YES
85.5%
NO
14.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +13.0 pts · Δ24h +13.0 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
85.5%
NO
14.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.010 · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 85.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 86.5%, indicating a possible +1.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +13.0 pts · Δ24h +13.0 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
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Execution
YES
NO