Crypto · market-implied 28.5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the crypto token Hyperliquid ($HYPE) is listed for spot purchase on Binance by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Binance, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+1.0 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
28.5%
Model estimate
29.5%
YES
28.5%
NO
71.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +5.0 pts · Δ24h +4.5 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence Mid-lowYES
28.5%
NO
71.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.010 vs 0.035 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 28.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 29.5%, indicating a possible +1.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +5.0 pts · Δ24h +4.5 pts (same direction)
YES
NO